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Real Estate Business Review | Friday, April 01, 2022
Developers of residential properties in Thailand should exercise caution when announcing new properties this year. Their collective plans represent the most significant amount of new properties in more than a decade.
FREMONT, CA: Developers of residential properties in Thailand should be cautious when launching new projects this year, according to Asia Plus Securities, because their combined plans constitute the largest number of new homes in more than a decade. Meanwhile, unsold homes pose a significant concern, with an estimated total worth of 1 trillion baht. The note of caution comes as developers rush to complete projects that have been put on hold since the pandemic, causing a market slowdown and an influx of new projects this year.
As per the promotional materials, one such project is SC Asset's The Villa — 28 Chidlom on Chidlom Road in central Bangkok. The two-building condominium project began construction in February 2016 and was scheduled to be completed in May 2020. Four hundred twenty-seven residential units are scattered across 68 floors in the two-building project. More than 300 projects for a total of 448 billion baht are anticipated to be completed this year by 18 big developers. By 2021, 14 publicly traded companies were estimated to have unsold units totaling over 557 billion baht. For the first time, the released and current projects still under construction are expected to flood the market this year, with a total property value topping 1 trillion baht.
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In 2018, Thailand's developer presales totaled 354 billion baht, the highest recorded sum. Annual presales plummeted to around 250 billion baht last year. Based on this year's expected launches, Asia Plus Securities predicts a 22 percent increase in revenue over last year's 262 billion, with 319 billion generated only through presales. Low-rise residences, as opposed to apartments that must be erected all at once, are usually easier to maintain because they may be developed in stages. As a result, low-rise dwellings will account for 70-80 percent of all new home debuts this year. Thailand's transition to low-rise housing began in 2019, accounting for almost 60 percent of new projects nationally, with flats accounting for 40 percent. Low-rise housing increased to 80 percent in 2020 before decreasing to 70 percent last year.
Since there were fewer launches last year, there were more than 100 billion baht in unsold residences in 2021. New condo launches were high before the epidemic, with full releases exceeding 200 billion baht in 2017 and 2018. It was a significant increase from the average annual net property value of 120 billion baht between 2010 and 2016.
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